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Using Scenarios to Evaluate the Medium- to Long-Term Impact of Transition and Physical Climate Risks on Credit Quality
Given the extended time horizons to evaluate the implications of climate change, pricing long-term customer and supplier relationships correctly requires the use of suitable medium- and long-term scenarios that capture the capital investments needed to reduce polluting emissions, pay higher carbon taxes and mitigate the asset depreciation or damages caused by physical events, such as hurricanes and wildfires. Together, these factors can have a profound impact on customers’ and suppliers’ profitability and credit risk.